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“Market Opportunities
Abundant For
Savvy Dealers and Brokers”
By Michael Chase and Marj
DeLong
Click
here to download pdf version of this article
The market for new
business aircraft continues to move in a very positive direction which
is the good news but this climate is forcing lead times for OEM
deliveries to climb which can be the bad news for some buyers. Many
Dealers and Brokers will take advantage of these opportunities by
supplying an interim solution of a pre-owned business jet. But the
pre-owned market makers may find themselves spending much more time
sifting through aging fleets trying to get their hands on the aircraft
the customer wants at the price they want to pay as the market tightens.

It is probably no surprise
that 80% of active aircraft dealers and brokers reside in the US because
that is where most business jets and turboprops are based. In the age
of digital transactions, aircraft buyers and sellers can be around the
world from where the dealer is but with most business aircraft operated
in North America, the supply and demand infrastructure tends to command
most of the activity state side.

As the previous US map
indicates there are over 1200 dealers and brokers in the U.S. that
compete for their own piece of the pre-owned aircraft market. The more
aircraft operating in a state tends to demand more dealers and brokers
as economics 101 takes over.
Pre-owned business
aircraft inventories are following patterns parallel to positive
economic cycles of the past and we are experiencing similar demand for
low time aircraft. So an interesting issue to explore now is the aging
fleet of pre-owned aircraft for sale. Currently 73% of business jets
“For Sale” are more than 15 years old as the population of the aging
business aircraft fleet continues to grow. Turbo-props are not any
younger as 78% of the fleet “For Sale” are 16 or more years old.
Obviously the buying majority might be looking for something newer than
a 1990 model aircraft so this leaves fewer jets and turboprops for
customers to choose from and fewer slightly pre-owned inventories for
savvy dealers and brokers to buy and sell.

Of course all of us
aviation buffs know it’s not the year it was built but how many hours
and cycles the aircraft has flown that the customers should be concerned
about, right? So having the latest and most accurate aircraft market
data available and effectively educating the buyer on the current
make/model status may help market some older aircraft more effectively.
Targeting the need for temporary lift while a corporation waits 18
months or more for their new aircraft delivery may also bring the demand
for some aging aircraft to a new high and no doubt a higher price to go
along with it. For some of the 422 business jets and 239 turboprops
“For Sale” that were built pre-1975 we can’t help but wonder when will
they roll off active status and finally retire in the desert somewhere.
The opportunities for the
1,570 dealers and brokers worldwide are abundant as the industry demand
continues to rise. The next chart indicates the activity that is
generated by the Business Jet OEM’s that show the number “For Sale”,
Number in Operation,
Percentage “For Sale” and a comparative of the “Number of Aircraft
Sold” in the first five months of 2006 compared to 2005.
|
No. |
ALL JETS |
No. Sold |
|
OEM |
Number |
Number |
Percent |
Jan to Apr 2006 |
Jan to Apr 2005 |
|
For Sale |
In Operation |
For Sale |
|
1 |
CITATION |
521 |
4,486 |
11.61% |
325 |
317 |
|
2 |
LEARJET |
338 |
2,171 |
15.57% |
123 |
100 |
|
3 |
HAWKER |
194 |
1,332 |
14.57% |
80 |
101 |
|
4 |
GULFSTREAM |
125 |
1,407 |
8.88% |
79 |
72 |
|
5 |
FALCON |
156 |
1,628 |
9.58% |
76 |
99 |
|
6 |
CHALLENGER |
82 |
753 |
10.89% |
63 |
57 |
|
7 |
BEECHJET |
41 |
410 |
10.00% |
31 |
19 |
|
8 |
GLOBAL |
4 |
172 |
2.33% |
11 |
15 |
|
9 |
PREMIER |
15 |
147 |
10.20% |
11 |
7 |
|
10 |
WESTWIND |
52 |
255 |
20.39% |
9 |
20 |
|
11 |
ASTRA |
21 |
127 |
16.54% |
7 |
8 |
|
12 |
SABRELINER |
52 |
299 |
17.39% |
7 |
22 |
|
13 |
JETSTAR |
26 |
69 |
37.68% |
5 |
4 |
|
14 |
DIAMOND |
19 |
79 |
24.05% |
4 |
8 |
|
15 |
EMBRAER |
2 |
63 |
3.18% |
4 |
6 |
|
16 |
BOEING |
2 |
94 |
2.13% |
1 |
2 |
|
17 |
AIRBUS |
1 |
26 |
3.85% |
0 |
0 |
|
18 |
DORNIER 328JET |
2 |
19 |
10.53% |
0 |
1 |
|
19 |
JET COMMANDER |
11 |
24 |
45.83% |
0 |
2 |
|
20 |
SINO SWEARINGEN |
0 |
2 |
0.00% |
0 |
0 |
|
ALL JETS |
1,664 |
13,563 |
12.27% |
836 |
860 |
|
*
Sold includes New Aircraft Deliveries |
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Source: JETNET; Presentation and Analysis by Chase & Associates |
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From
November 2005 to April 2006 there were 205 aircraft transacted by ten of
the most active dealers/brokers but worldwide there were XXX aircraft
transactions during this period. So xx% of the transactions were made
by the ten active dealers/brokers and xx% made by the remaining 1,570
dealers/brokers. You may say this looks like a very competitive market
for dealers and brokers but abundant opportunities for the savvy
aircraft marketers none the less.
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